The public-health activity target is written in two numbers, and neither of them is steps. It asks for minutes at a stated intensity, and it asks for days of strength work. That turns tracking without a device into a narrower problem than it first appears: you need a stand-in for intensity, not a free step counter. Intensity does leave body signals, and several of them have been measured against laboratory criteria, so it is possible to say how far each one can be trusted rather than guessing. What follows is the set of quantities, the thresholds attached to them, the populations those thresholds were measured on, and the point at which reading your own body stops being enough.

The two numbers the target is written in

The WHO 2020 guidelines ask adults aged 18 to 64 for at least 150 to 300 minutes a week of moderate-intensity aerobic activity, or 75 to 150 minutes of vigorous-intensity activity. On top of that they ask for muscle-strengthening work covering all major muscle groups, on two or more days a week (Bull et al., BJSM 2020). The two aerobic ranges are interchangeable at roughly two to one, which is why a vigorous minute is conventionally counted as two moderate ones.

“Moderate” and “vigorous” are defined absolutely, in metabolic equivalents. The CDC puts moderate at 3.0 to 5.9 METs and vigorous at 6.0 METs and above. One MET is the energy cost of sitting quietly: formally 3.5 mL of oxygen per kilogram of body mass per minute, or about 1 kcal per kilogram per hour.

That last conversion is the one people reach for when they want a calorie figure, and it works arithmetically: METs multiplied by body mass in kilograms multiplied by hours. The caution comes from the same paper that supplies the constant. Its authors report that resting metabolic rate per kilogram runs higher in men than in women, lower in older adults than in younger ones, and lower in people who are overweight. They recommend estimating resting rate from equations that use sex, age and body-mass index, and not relying on the 1-MET standard at all. A figure resting on a constant its own authors qualify that far is a rough band rather than a budget, so everything below counts minutes instead.

Cadence, the one gauge you can count

Walking is the exception among everyday activities, because its intensity has a rate you can count directly. The CADENCE-adults study measured walking against indirect calorimetry and found that 100 and 130 steps per minute serve as heuristic thresholds for absolutely defined moderate and vigorous ambulatory intensity. Each additional 10 steps per minute is associated with roughly one more MET.

Steps/minApprox METsIntensity bandWhat speech sounds like
90below 3light, below moderatetalking and singing both easy
1003moderatetalking easy
110~4moderatetalking easy
120~5moderateshort sentences
1306vigorousa few words, then a breath

The method needs a watch face and nothing else: count your steps for 15 seconds and multiply by four. Landing near 100 puts that stretch of walking in the moderate band the guideline counts, and holding 130 puts it in the vigorous band, where the minutes count double.

Two limits belong beside the ladder. The first is the sample. The figures 100 and 130 come from 76 adults aged 21 to 40, and they are stated against absolutely defined intensity, meaning fixed MET bands rather than a share of the walker’s own capacity. A companion study in 61-to-85-year-olds put the numbers elsewhere for relatively defined intensity: at least 105 steps per minute for moderate, and 115 to 120 for vigorous. That same study tested whether sex, age, height, leg length or BMI improved the cadence-intensity association. None of them substantially did, so the gap between the age groups is not a body-size effect and cannot be corrected for by measuring yourself.

The second limit is softer. A narrative review covering 38 studies found 100 steps per minute to be a consistent heuristic value for moderate intensity across adults, which is why the figure is usually quoted flat. Quoted flat, it remains a population screening threshold rather than a personal calibration, and an older reader now has a published reason to expect their own number to sit lower.

Two gauges that can only be rated

Cadence reads walking and nothing else. For band work, stairs, cycling or a climb, the available gauges are both subjective, and the CDC defines them in the same place it defines the MET bands.

The talk test asks what your speech can still do. At moderate intensity a person can talk but not sing; at vigorous intensity they cannot say more than a few words without pausing for breath. The 0-to-10 effort scale asks for a number instead, where 0 is the effort of sitting and 10 is maximal: moderate sits at 5 or 6, and vigorous begins at 7 or 8.

Both are anchored to the same MET bands as the cadence ladder. A session where speech held together in short sentences, and effort felt like a 6, is logged as moderate minutes whether or not anything was recording it. Where the two gauges disagree with each other, the disagreement is itself information, because it usually means the session was hard relative to your own fitness rather than hard in absolute terms.

What a rating of your own effort is worth

Self-rated effort has been measured against laboratory criteria, and the result is a number rather than a shrug. A meta-analysis of criterion validity for Borg’s rating of perceived exertion reported weighted coefficients of about 0.62 against heart rate, 0.57 against blood lactate and 0.64 against percentage of maximal oxygen uptake (Chen, Fan and Moe, 2002). They sit well below the near-equivalence people assume when they treat a perceived-effort number as a stand-in for a heart-rate reading.

The reading I would take from that is narrow and useful. A coefficient near 0.62 is strong enough to sort sessions reliably into easy, moderate and hard, and too weak to support a single-digit answer about how hard any one session was. Used as a traffic light and then counted in minutes, self-rated effort tracks a weekly health target adequately. Used as a speedometer for a training protocol it does not, and practice does not move a validity coefficient.

The week on one sheet

Both halves of the guideline fit on a sheet with five columns, which is the whole logging apparatus this page asks for. Cadence goes in only where a walk was counted, and the intensity column is what the weekly total is added up from.

Illustrative example, showing what a week that lands in range looks like on paper:

DayActivityMinutesIntensityCadence
MonWalk30moderate100
TueWalk25moderate110
Wedrest
ThuBands20moderate-
FriBrisk walk20vigorous130
SatHike60moderate100
SunStairs15vigorous-

That adds to 170 at-least-moderate minutes across six active days, clearing the 150-minute floor, with the band session and the stair session covering the two muscle-strengthening days. Counting the two vigorous blocks at the guideline’s two-to-one rate would put the equivalent higher again, which is worth knowing and not worth recalculating every week.

The medium matters less than whether the record survives a bad February. A fridge tally with one column per day works. A one-line phone note works. A phone’s built-in health app logs walking minutes with no wearable attached, but it counts steps, so band work, floor sessions and cycling never appear in it at all. A system that records everything fails the week its battery dies, whereas a missed tally leaves an obvious blank you fill in next session.

Where the self-measure runs out

Cadence, the talk test and a 0-10 rating cover general activity against a general-population target. They do not measure heart rate, they do not detect an arrhythmia, they do not estimate maximal oxygen uptake, and they cannot deliver an intensity a clinician has prescribed in beats per minute. A device earns its cost for a specific event, for a rehabilitation metric someone has set, or for a health need such as rhythm screening, and outside those I would not treat one as a requirement for meeting the guideline.

What this page claims is that a count, a rating and a clock place a week against the target with known error bars. What it does not claim is that any single gauge here is accurate to one digit, that the cadence thresholds transfer unchanged to a reader outside the sampled age range, or that the calorie conversion is a budget. If a medical condition bears on how hard you should be working, your clinician’s instruction outranks every figure above. The week those minutes go into is designed in an active routine without a gym.

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