This comparison is normally laid out as two prices, one large and one small, plotted until the lines cross. It fails on units before it fails on arithmetic. A membership is a recurring charge governed by one country’s consumer contract law. A home setup is a single purchase governed by the floor it stands on. Both are divided by an attendance rate that nobody holds for you, and both sit on top of a travel time that no statistical agency measures for this particular trip. Four quantities, four sources, and only the first of them is a price. This page separates them, works each one, and shows the arithmetic with its inputs left visible so you can substitute your own.

Money a month, money once, sessions, hours: four units, not one number

The recurring charge is money per month, and it is set by a market inside a legal system. The equipment budget is money once, and what limits it at the top end is the structure under the floor rather than the bank balance. Attendance is sessions per month, and it converts either of the first two into a cost per session. Travel is hours per year, and it is never billed to you in money at all.

Four units, four sources. A break-even month that folds them together is not wrong in its multiplication; it is wrong in implying that one number came out the other side.

The fee is set by a jurisdiction, not by an average

There is no global membership price, and figures quoted without a country attached are usually a US number that has been through a blog or two. Here is one that survives inspection, because the survey behind it is named and dated.

DSSV, the German employers’ association for fitness and health facilities, publishes annual sector figures with Deloitte and the DHfPG. The 2026 edition, on 2025 data, puts the average monthly membership fee at 48.55 euros gross across 12.36 million members: 40.54 euros in chain facilities, 59.24 in single-site clubs, 80.02 in special-interest studios.

One country, one year, gross of VAT, averaged across facility types that differ by a factor of two. Move it to the UK or the US and it stops being an estimate and becomes a guess with a decimal point. What does transfer is the shape. A national average hides a two-fold spread by facility type, so the only fee worth doing arithmetic on is the one on the contract in front of you.

Read the term, the notice and the renewal clause

The price is the visible term. The committed period, the notice needed to leave it and the renewal clause decide what that price ends up costing.

German law puts a hard ceiling on all three, which makes it a usable benchmark even where it does not apply. Section 309 No. 9 BGB voids a standard consumer-contract clause binding the customer for longer than two years. It permits tacit renewal only where the contract continues indefinitely and the customer can cancel at any time on notice of at most one month. And it caps the notice needed to leave at the end of the initial term at one month. That wording governs contracts concluded from 1 March 2022; older ones are judged on the previous version.

Section 312k BGB adds a procedural right on top. Since 1 July 2022, a trader who lets consumers enter continuing-obligation contracts online must provide a cancellation button, and the statute prescribes the label: “Vertraege hier kuendigen”. Where the button is missing, the consumer may cancel at any time without observing any notice period at all.

This is German law and it governs German contracts. Elsewhere the caps are whatever the local regime sets, and often there is no cap. What travels is the checklist: find the committed term, find the notice period, find the renewal clause, and read them before the number on the front page. A home setup has none of the three. Its only lock-in is money already spent, and part of that is recoverable on the second-hand market.

What this cannot tell you: whether your own contract is enforceable where you live. That is a question for the contract and your local consumer authority, not for a fitness page.

What the retention figure actually counts

Attendance is the divisor in every version of this comparison, and it is the quantity people forecast worst for themselves. There is a real published number nearby, and it is worth being exact about what it describes.

The Health and Fitness Association’s 2025 benchmarking report, built on confidential data from 175 companies representing more than 17,000 facilities across 27 countries, reports that member retention averaged 66.4 percent for the year. That is a facility-level figure: how much of an operator’s membership base was still on the books twelve months later, averaged across operators.

It is not a probability attached to you. Aggregate churn across seventeen thousand facilities and one person’s decision in March are different objects, and treating the first as a forecast of the second is the step that turns a sound statistic into a bad one. What the figure does support is narrower and still useful: a large minority of memberships end inside a year, which is why the exit terms are worth more attention than the marketing gives them.

The arithmetic you can run on yourself is cost per visit, and it wants an honest input rather than an intended one.

Calculation

Cost per visit = the month’s total charge / visits actually made that month.

At the German average of 48.55 euros:

  • 12 visits: 48.55 / 12 = about 4.05 euros a visit
  • 3 visits: 48.55 / 3 = about 16.18 euros a visit

Both use the DSSV average as the input. Substitute your own fee, and use last month’s real attendance rather than the number you plan to hit.

Travel time, measured on a different trip

The statistic everybody quotes here is about something else, and that is worth saying before using it.

The US Census Bureau’s American Community Survey puts the mean one-way travel time to work at 27.2 minutes in its 2024 one-year estimates, up from 26.8 in 2023, for workers aged 16 and over who did not work from home. Large sample, careful definition, and it measures the journey to a workplace. Nobody publishes an equivalent for the journey to a gym, which is usually shorter, at a different hour, on a different route.

So treat it as an anchor rather than an input: use it to see the shape of the number, then put in the time your own trip takes.

Calculation

Hours a year on the round trip = sessions a week x 52 x round-trip minutes / 60.

Four sessions a week, at the 27.2-minute national commute figure used as an anchor:

4 x 52 = 208 trips; 208 x 54.4 minutes = 11,315 minutes = about 189 hours a year

At an assumed ten minutes each way for a gym on your own street, the same four sessions give 208 x 20 = 4,160 minutes, about 69 hours a year. The input that moves this result is the distance, not the frequency.

That is the one quantity where the home setup wins without argument, and it wins by however many hours your own trip costs.

Budgets have no published average; floors have a code figure

Equipment budgets have no meaningful published average. Spending runs from a mat to a loaded rack, and pages quoting a national figure are quoting their own product mix. Your budget is your input.

What is published is the ceiling at the heavy end, and it is a building figure rather than a fitness one. The International Residential Code, in the version adopted by New York State, sets minimum uniformly distributed live loads in Table R301.5 at 40 pounds per square foot for rooms other than sleeping rooms and 30 psf for sleeping rooms. Two things follow.

That is a design reference for a structural element, not an assessment of your building. It says what the floor was required to be designed for, not what the one under you was built to or what it will carry now.

And it is not even one number inside the United States. Kern County, California, adopted Table R301.5 with an amendment raising sleeping rooms to 40 psf. A jurisdiction can change the figure a reader would otherwise quote as national.

The practical part is geometry rather than totals. A distributed load spreads across a room; a loaded rack or a plate tree puts its weight into four small contact patches. Spreading that footprint over a board is ordinary practice and costs nothing, but it is load spreading, not a safety certificate. At rack scale over a neighbour the question belongs with the building documents, the landlord or a structural professional, and it is one of the few limits a home setup has that a gym never imposes on you.

What this cannot tell you: what your floor will carry. No table can, and no free calculator can either.

The four quantities side by side

This table is of inputs, not of results. Nothing in it should be added to anything else in it.

QuantityUnitWhere your figure comes fromWhat it cannot tell you
Recurring feemoney per monththe contract in front of you; national surveys give a range, not your priceanything about a different country, or about the facility type you actually chose
Contract termsmonths, and notice in monthsthe committed term, notice period and renewal clause in the agreementwhether the clause is enforceable where you live
Attendancesessions per monthlast month, counted honestlyoperator-level retention is not a forecast for one person
Travelminutes per round triptime your own route oncethe published commute statistic measures a journey to work
One-time budgetmoney oncewhat you intend to spendwhat the floor under it will carry

Break-even, with the inputs on show

Calculation

Break-even in months = one-time equipment budget / total monthly cost of the gym.

A 700 euro setup against the German average fee of 48.55 euros a month, with travel cost left at zero:

700 / 48.55 = 14.4, so the setup is ahead from the fifteenth month.

Adding travel cost pulls that forward. At 2 euros a trip and four sessions a week, the monthly gym total becomes 48.55 + (2 x 4 x 4.33) = 83.19 euros, and 700 / 83.19 = 8.4, so the setup is ahead from the ninth month.

The 4.33 is the average number of weeks in a month. The fee is a national average standing in for a contract; the budget and the travel cost are assumed inputs, not survey figures.

Both results move with the fee, so run them on yours.

Home setup vs gym membership: break-even

Enter your own numbers in whatever currency you use. The comparison updates as you type. No currency symbol is assumed.

  • Break-even point -
  • Hours saved per year (no commute) -
  • 3-year gym total -
  • 3-year home total -

Assumption: the 3-year comparison treats the equipment budget as a one-time cost over a 3-year lifespan, with no resale value counted.

FitVilo model - based on published figures. See methodology.

If the arithmetic sends you toward the home half, the tools page carries the two checks that come next: whether the gear you have in mind fits the clear floor you actually have, and what a session of it is likely to send downstairs.

Five cases, then the hybrid that fits most

They do not carry equal weight. In most situations one dominates and the rest are noise.

  • Travel dominates for anyone whose nearest suitable gym is a real journey. At the anchor figure above, four sessions a week costs around 189 hours in transit, against 69 hours for a gym on your street.
  • The contract dominates for a returner who is honestly unsure whether the habit will hold. A month-to-month arrangement makes a fade cost one month; a fixed term makes the same fade cost the term.
  • Attendance dominates at low frequencies, and it dominates hard, because it sits in the denominator. The same fee that works out at about 4 euros a visit at twelve visits works out at about 16 at three.
  • The equipment ceiling dominates for a lifter working at loads a rack is needed for. Apartment-scale gear does not reach there, the floor question arrives with the rack, and this is the case where the gym is buying you something a home setup cannot.
  • None of them dominates for a purely cardio goal. The WHO guideline of 150 to 300 minutes of moderate-intensity activity a week, or 75 to 150 vigorous, plus muscle strengthening on two or more days, is reachable with a walking pad and outdoor walking, and the choice comes down to preference. A comparison of the machines is in exercise bike vs treadmill, and the running cost of each is in what each machine adds to your power bill.

The hybrid gets the least discussion and answers the largest group. A month-to-month membership covers the heavy work and the equipment ceiling; a modest home setup covers the daily routine and the week that runs long. It removes the failure mode of each, the home-only routine narrowing to the same few movements and the gym-only routine collapsing whenever the workday does. What to buy first for the home half is in the purchase order guide, and the kit itself is in the small home gym setup guide. Noise below you is a separate question, worked through in quiet apartment workouts.

What this page claims, and what it does not

It claims the comparison holds four quantities in four units that should not be collapsed into one figure, that every number above carries the country, the producer and the year it came from, and that the arithmetic is rebuildable on your own inputs.

It does not claim that 48.55 euros is your fee, that 27.2 minutes is your trip, or that 66.4 percent is your probability of anything. The first is a German sector average, the second is a US commute to work, and the third belongs to operators rather than to members. It does not produce a break-even month for you either; it produces the formula and names the inputs.

If I had to pick one thing to do before renewing or ordering, it would be the least mathematical one: find the notice period in the contract, and time your own trip to the gym once, on a weekday evening.

Sources